PackFlow Covid-19 Reports

Paper

Will continue to deliver surplus PRNs to offset general recycling obligations. A small decline in the material placed on the market and a shift away from the higher participation commercial and industrial sector into household consumption is projected.

Glass

Volumes of material recycled are likely to be very close to the 2020 obligation.  Increased targets mean that compliance in 2021/2022 is likely to require an increased yield from existing systems or improved participation rates. Capture of non-accredited recycling would also help in meeting targets.

Aluminium

Faces similar challenges to glass although there are some factors that may help to mitigate the situation including signs of improved participation and the increased capture of non-accredited recycling.  New accredited energy from waste capacity will also have a positive impact.

Steel

The compliance position remains well balanced with a small surplus projected.  As recycling rates remain extremely high it is essential that a high proportion of reprocessors are accredited.  The projected decrease in POM means surpluses may be eroded and 2022 may see a small shortfall.

Plastic

Proposed increased targets may not be achievable. When the participation in recycling systems is kept constant a small shortfall of PRNs is projected. If a small improvement in participation is modelled a small surplus is projected.  Much of this is not COVID-19 related but associated with broader changes in corporate and consumer behaviour.

Wood

Across all scenarios the surplus of wood packaging relative to its target narrows in 2020 and then widens in 2021 and 2022